President Donald Trump said this week that tariffs connected U.S. neighbors Canada and Mexico will get Saturday. The 2 nations are not only adjacent geographically, but economically arsenic well.
The business betwixt nan North American nations now exceeds China, totaling $1.8 trillion successful 2023. That is acold greater than nan $643 cardinal successful commerce that nan U.S. did pinch China successful that aforesaid year.
Following are conscionable a fewer imported equipment that could beryllium deed first.

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A ‘Grenade’ Lobbed Into Auto Production
For decades, car companies person built proviso chains that transverse nan borders of nan United States, Mexico and Canada. More than 1 successful 5 of nan cars and ray trucks sold successful nan United States were built successful Canada aliases Mexico, according to S&P Global Mobility. In 2023, nan United States imported $69 cardinal worthy of cars and ray trucks from Mexico – much than immoderate different state ― and $37 cardinal from Canada. Another $78 cardinal successful car parts came from Mexico and $20 cardinal from Canada. The engines successful Ford F-series pickups and nan iconic Mustang sports coupe, for instance, travel from Canada.
“You person engines and car seats and different things that transverse nan separator aggregate times earlier going into a vanished vehicle,’’ said Cato’s Lincicome. “You person American parts going to Mexico to beryllium put into vehicles that are past shipped backmost to nan United States.
“You propulsion 25% tariffs into each that, and it’s conscionable a grenade.’’
In a study Tuesday, S&P Global Mobility reckoned that “importers are apt to walk most, if not all, of this (cost) summation to consumers.’’ TD Economics notes that mean U.S. car prices could emergence by astir $3,000 – this astatine a clip erstwhile nan mean caller car already goes for $50,000 and nan mean utilized car for $26,000, according to Kelley Blue Book.
Higher Prices At The Pump
Canada is by acold America’s biggest overseas supplier of crude oil. From January done November past year, Canada shipped nan U.S. $90 cardinal worthy of crude, good up of No. 2 Mexico astatine $11 billion.
For galore U.S. refineries, there’s not overmuch choice. Canada produces nan “type of crude lipid that American refineries are geared to process,’’ Lincicome said. “It’s a heavier crude. All nan fracking and each nan lipid and state we make present successful nan United States – aliases astir of it – is simply a lighter crude that a batch of American refineries don’t process, peculiarly successful nan Midwest.’’
Trump said Thursday that he hasn’t yet decided whether to see Canadian and Mexico oil successful nan tariffs he still plans enforce Saturday.
If he did taxation Canadian lipid imports, Lincicome said, “how nan heck does that shingle out? My conjecture is that it shakes retired conscionable done higher state prices, peculiarly successful nan Midwest.’’ TD Economics figures that Trump’s tariffs could push up U.S. gasoline prices by 30 cents to 70 cents a gallon.
Trouble In Margaritaville
Tariffs would raise nan value for those raising a solid of tequila aliases Canadian whisky.
In 2023, nan U.S. imported $4.6 cardinal worthy of tequila and $108 cardinal worthy of mezcal from Mexico, according to nan Distilled Spirits Council of nan United States, a waste and acquisition group. The U.S. imported $537 cardinal worthy of Canadian spirits, including $202.5 cardinal worthy of whisky.
Canada and Mexico were besides nan second- and third-largest importers of U.S. spirits successful 2023, down nan European Union, nan assembly said.
The assembly said nan U.S. is already facing a perchance devastating 50% tariff connected American whiskey by nan European Union, which is group to statesman successful March. Imposing tariffs connected Mexico and Canada could heap moreover much retaliatory action connected nan industry.
Chris Swonger, nan council’s president and CEO, said he appreciates nan extremity of protecting U.S. jobs. But tequila and Canadian whisky – for illustration Kentucky bourbon ― are designated arsenic unique products that tin only beryllium made successful their state of origin.
“At nan extremity of nan day, tariffs connected spirits products from our neighbors to nan northbound and southbound are going to wounded U.S. consumers and lead to occupation losses crossed nan U.S. hospitality industry, conscionable arsenic these businesses proceed their agelong betterment from nan pandemic,” Swonger said.
Expensive Avocados, Just In Time For The Super Bowl
For American consumers still exasperated by precocious market prices, a waste and acquisition warfare pinch Canada and Mexico could beryllium painful. In 2023, nan U.S. bought much than $45 cardinal successful cultivation products from Mexico –including 63% of imported vegetables and 47% of fruits and nuts. Farm imports from Canada came to $40 billion. A 25% tariff could push prices up.
“Grocery stores run connected really mini margins,’’ Lincicome said. “They can’t eat nan tariffs ... particularly erstwhile you talk astir things for illustration avocados that fundamentally each of them – 90% ― travel from Mexico. You’re talking astir guacamole tariffs correct earlier nan Super Bowl.’’
U.S. farmers are nervous, too, that Canada and Mexico will retaliate by slapping tariffs connected American products specified arsenic soybeans and corn. That’s what happened successful nan first Trump administration. China and different targets of Trump tariffs deed backmost by targeting nan president’s supporters successful agrarian America. Exports of soybeans and different workplace products dropped, truthful Trump spent billions of U.S. payer money to reimburse farmers for mislaid sales.
“President Trump was arsenic bully arsenic his word,’’ said Mark McHargue, a Central City, Nebraska, husbandman who grows corn, soybeans, popcorn and raises hogs. “It did return nan sting retired of it. That’s for sure.’’ But he would for illustration to spot nan authorities push to unfastened overseas markets to American workplace exports. “We would alternatively get our money from nan market,’’ said McHargue, president of nan Nebraska Farm Bureau. “It doesn’t consciousness awesome to get a authorities check.’’
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Associated Press Writer Josh Boak successful Washington contributed this story.