2025 Emmy Predictions: Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series

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We will update this article passim nan season, on pinch all our predictions, truthful make judge to support checking IndieWire for nan latest news from nan 2025 Emmys race. The information information of voting takes spot from June 12 to June 23, pinch nan charismatic Emmy nominations announced Tuesday, July 15. Afterwards, last voting commences connected August 18 and ends nan nighttime of August 27. The 77th Annual Primetime Emmy Awards are group to return spot connected Sunday, September 14, and aerial unrecorded connected CBS astatine 8:00 p.m. ET/ 5:00 p.m. PT.

The State of nan Race

Unlike their antheral counterparts, things person not been truthful regular for nan Outstanding Lead Actress successful a Comedy Series contenders. For example, “The Bear” prima Ayo Edebiri, “Abbott Elementary” prima Quinta Brunson, and “Hacks” prima Jean Smart person each won an Emmy for their performances successful nan past 2 years, pinch nan second brace winning for this class (Edebiri won nan Outstanding Supporting Actress successful a Comedy Series Emmy for Season 1.)

'The Studio' stars Seth Rogen, Ike Barinholtz, Chase Sui Wonders, and Kathryn Hahn, shown present successful a convention room looking complete Rogen's enarthrosis astatine a computer

A female looking into a futuristic computer; Adria Arjona successful Lucasfilm's 'Andor' Season 2

The trio are staples of grant play astatine this point, truthful location is simply a beardown chance each 3 will beryllium nominated. However, Edebiri is nan astir vulnerable, arsenic her move to nan Lead Actress class has truthful acold served her castmates much than her.

Where things get dicey is that conscionable astir each different campaigner has a agelong history pinch nan Emmys. Selena Gomez was nominated successful this class for nan first clip past year, erstwhile nan number of nominations was expanded to six to make it equitable pinch nan Lead Actor class (which had a tie.) But it is difficult to spot that happening again erstwhile moreover personification for illustration “Poker Face” creator/star Natasha Lyonne was nominated complete her 2 years ago, erstwhile nan first play of nan Peacock show was successful nan race.

What it really comes down to is which Netflix stars are getting in, particularly since nan streaming work tin run moreover harder than either of those shows. “The Four Seasons” prima Tina Fey and “The Residence” prima Uzo Aduba person some proven to beryllium Emmys favorites, having won aggregate times and aggregate categories.

But it does consciousness for illustration voters are conscious of immoderate of nan large stars that person not won yet. Analogous to really Apple TV+ played things past year, “Nobody Wants This” prima Kristen Bell is successful a akin position arsenic “Palm Royale” prima Kristen Wiig was past year, making nan trim arsenic nan lead of her streaming service’s apical Outstanding Comedy Series contender. Meanwhile, “Running Point” prima Kate Hudson is successful a position akin to “Loot” prima Maya Rudolph, wherever her show is much populist than it is prestigious, but she has been truthful coming connected nan run way that voters look much fresh to springiness her immoderate credit. The information would beryllium Hudson’s very first Emmy information for her first clip arsenic a bid regular connected television.

All this said, watch retired for Kathryn Hahn successful “Agatha All Along.” The character already received an Emmy information for playing Agatha Harkness successful “WandaVision,” and triumphed complete incredibly stiff title for an Outstanding Lead Actress successful a Limited aliases Anthology Series information for “Tiny Beautiful Things” successful 2023, truthful she is very overmuch connected voters’ radars. But nan TV Academy is overmuch amended astatine recognizing Disney+ bid themselves than they are nominating immoderate lead aliases supporting performances for them.

Predicted Nominees:
Kristen Bell, “Nobody Wants This” (Netflix)
Quinta Brunson, “Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
Ayo Edebiri, “The Bear” (FX)
Kate Hudson, “Running Point” (Netflix)
Jean Smart, “Hacks” (Max)

Contenders:
Uzo Aduba, “The Residence” (Netflix)
Kathryn Hahn, “Agatha All Along” (Disney+)
Natasha Lyonne, “Poker Face” (Peacock)

In a Perfect World:
Laverne Cox, “Clean Slate” (Prime Video)
Bridget Everett, “Somebody Somewhere” (HBO)
Margo Martindale, “The Sticky” (Prime Video)

More Comedy Category Predictions:
Outstanding Comedy Series
Outstanding Lead Actor successful a Comedy Series
Outstanding Supporting Actor successful a Comedy Series
Outstanding Supporting Actress successful a Comedy Series

View IndieWire’s afloat group of predictions for nan 77th Emmy Awards.

Last Year’s Winner: Jean Smart, “Hacks”
Still Eligible: Yes.
Hot Streak: While a 4th Emmy for Outstanding Lead Actress successful a Comedy Series wouldn’t break immoderate awesome awards records, it would group up “Hacks” prima Jean Smart to beryllium successful nan aforesaid convention arsenic TV drama legends Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Candice Bergen, and Mary Tyler Moore.
Notable Ineligible Series: Maya Rudolph, “Loot” (Season 3 is not eligible); Kristen Wiig, “Palm Royale” (Season 2 is not eligible).